Analyze the earnings trade setup for [TICKER]. Earnings date: [DATE]. Current price: $[X]. IV rank: [%]. Consensus EPS estimate: $[X].
Provide: 1) Historical earnings move analysis (last 8 quarters: actual move vs. implied move), 2) Current options market implied move calculation, 3) Whether IV is rich or cheap vs. historical earnings IV, 4) Bull case / bear case / no-move scenarios with probabilities, 5) Recommended strategy given current IV environment (long vol vs. short vol), 6) Specific structure with strikes and expiration, 7) Entry timing (before vs. after earnings), 8) What could cause an outsized move beyond the implied range.